17 May 2019

Greener Pastures: Resetting the Age of Eligibility for Social Security Based on Actuarial Science

Due to low fertility rates, rising life expectancies and the aging of the baby boom, Canada’s Old Age Dependency Ratio is rising. This will strain the sustainability of our Social Security systems and healthcare. Other countries with aging populations are raising the Age of Eligibility (AOE) for social security benefits. This paper was inspired by work done in the UK for the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries State Pension Age Working Party. Our study applies their methodology onto the Canadian context.

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17 May 2019

Retirement planning in the light of changing demographics

With increasing longevity and decreasing fertility rates, governments and policy makers are increasingly engaged in the question of long term retirement planning. In many cases this has included emphasising the need for individuals to take more responsibility for their own retirement planning through tax incentives, compulsion and changes to the age at which state retirement benefits become available. In the case of Australia, as is considered here, long term retirement planning has been focused around the development of a compulsory defined contribution (DC) superannuation system.

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17 May 2019

Reducing the risk from rapid demographic change

Abstract - The world is entering a period in which the West’s postwar social welfare system is under growing threat as the global demographic structure is being turned upside down. And it is not just the West, but also China and other middle-income powers who will have to deal with an aging workforce and unsustainable health and pension costs in the next decade. For sub-Saharan African countries whose birthrates remain high, overpopulation carries big costs not only for them, but for the rest of the world, which will depend on them for a growing proportion of the world’s workforce.

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17 May 2019

Impacts of a Changing Climate on Economic Damages and Insurance

Abstract - Weather and climate extremes cause huge economic damages and harm many lives each year (?35000/year). There is evidence that some types of weather and climate extremes, like heat waves and flooding, have already increased or intensified over the last few decades, and climate projections reveal a further intensification for many types of weather and climate extremes in many regions though the uncertainties still remain large.

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17 May 2019

The impact of climate change on the UK insurance sector - A Climate Change Adaptation Report by the Prudential Regulation Authority

Abstract - Climate change is a slow-moving process relative to many other public policy issues. Nonetheless, the future of the world’s climate system is likely to be heavily dependent on actions over the next few decades. Central banks across the globe are tasked with promoting monetary and financial stability and are quite used to thinking about the lags between policy action and effect.

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17 May 2019

Let's Talk About the Weather: The Impact of Climate Change on Central Banks

Abstract - This paper examines the channels via which climate change and policies to mitigate it could affect a central bank’s ability to meet its monetary and financial stability objectives. We argue that two types of risks are particularly relevant for central banks. First, a weather-related natural disaster could trigger financial and macroeconomic instability if it severely damages the balance sheets of households, corporates, banks, and insurers (physical risks).

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17 May 2019

Hedging Climate Risk

Abstract - This report presents a simple dynamic investment strategy that allows long-term passive investors to hedge climate risk without sacrificing financial returns. It illustrates how the tracking error can be virtually eliminated even for a low-carbon index with 50% less carbon footprint than its benchmark.

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17 May 2019

Insurance and Climate Change Risk Management: Rescaling to Look Beyond the Horizon

Abstract - Climate change represents a significant financial risk to the insurance industry, but research has yet to assess whether the industry is managing this risk. Through the application of scale as a vertically nested hierarchy of relationships, this paper seeks to evaluate whether insurers are ‘rescaling’ risk management practices to accommodate the temporal and spatial uncertainty associated with climate change. This framework is applied to a content analysis of 178 (183) responses to the 2012 (2015) U.S.

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17 May 2019

Climate Risk: A Practical Guide for Actuaries working in Defined Contribution Pensions

This report discusses why climate change is a risk facing defined contributions pensions - in terms of physical risk, transition risk and liability risk. It discusses two case studies - HSBC Bank (UK) Pension Scheme & NEST.

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17 May 2019

The obsession with peer risk

Update from the Wealth Management Sub-Committee of the Life Insurance and Wealth Practice Committee of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia

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