17 May 2019

Let's Talk About the Weather: The Impact of Climate Change on Central Banks

Abstract - This paper examines the channels via which climate change and policies to mitigate it could affect a central bank’s ability to meet its monetary and financial stability objectives. We argue that two types of risks are particularly relevant for central banks. First, a weather-related natural disaster could trigger financial and macroeconomic instability if it severely damages the balance sheets of households, corporates, banks, and insurers (physical risks).

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17 May 2019

Hedging Climate Risk

Abstract - This report presents a simple dynamic investment strategy that allows long-term passive investors to hedge climate risk without sacrificing financial returns. It illustrates how the tracking error can be virtually eliminated even for a low-carbon index with 50% less carbon footprint than its benchmark.

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17 May 2019

Insurance and Climate Change Risk Management: Rescaling to Look Beyond the Horizon

Abstract - Climate change represents a significant financial risk to the insurance industry, but research has yet to assess whether the industry is managing this risk. Through the application of scale as a vertically nested hierarchy of relationships, this paper seeks to evaluate whether insurers are ‘rescaling’ risk management practices to accommodate the temporal and spatial uncertainty associated with climate change. This framework is applied to a content analysis of 178 (183) responses to the 2012 (2015) U.S.

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17 May 2019

Climate Risk: A Practical Guide for Actuaries working in Defined Contribution Pensions

This report discusses why climate change is a risk facing defined contributions pensions - in terms of physical risk, transition risk and liability risk. It discusses two case studies - HSBC Bank (UK) Pension Scheme & NEST.

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17 May 2019

The obsession with peer risk

Update from the Wealth Management Sub-Committee of the Life Insurance and Wealth Practice Committee of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia

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17 May 2019

The Trust Deficiency in Banking and How to Fix It

Having watched the growing politicisation of banking, aggressive media handling of the issues, and the continuing inability of the banks to push back, I am keen to offer a personal view of what banks might do to handle these problems. I am doing this partly out of frustration: I spent 13 years as CEO of a major domestic bank in Australia and since witnessed a deterioration in public trust and the seeming inability of bank boards and their executives to respond.

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17 May 2019

Assessing, Quantifying and Managing Agency Risk

Slides from the Society of Actuaries in Ireland 2016 ERM Conference

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17 May 2019

Mitigating agency risk between investors and ventures’ managers

The general management literature has long focused on the agency risks involved in the relationship between general managers and shareholders. Shareholders can deploy contractual and noncontractual mechanisms to reduce these inefficiencies. This study examines—based on a broad international sample of investment contracts—how the use of contractual and noncontractual mechanisms is related to the degree of risks associated with the venture’s development stage as well as how these practices differ across countries.

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17 May 2019

Interest Rate Risk Management in Uncertain Times

We revisit the evidence on real effects of uncertainty shocks in the context of interest rate uncertainty, which can readily be hedged in the interest rate swap market. We document that adverse movements in interest rate uncertainty predict significant slowdowns in real activity, both at the aggregate and at the firm-level. To understand how firms cope with interest rate uncertainty, we develop a dynamic model of corporate investment, financing and risk management and test it using a rich dataset on corporate swap usage.

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17 May 2019

Evaluating the solvency capital requirement of interest rate risk in Solvency II

In this paper, the question addressed is as to whether the Solvency II standard formula provides a good measure for the interest rate risk an insurer is facing. In order to answer this question, several simplifications of the standard formula are considered and an alternative method is proposed to simulate the future term structures of interest rates to provide a better insight in the interest rate risk of an insurer.

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