19 Jun 2019

Credit Risk Concentrations under Stress

This article deals with methods for identifying as well as stressing risk concentrations in credit portfolios, in particular concentrations caused by large exposures to a single sector or to several highly correlated sectors. We present a general and yet computationally efficient framework for implementing stress scenarios in a multifactor credit portfolio model and illustrate the proposed methodology by stressing a large investment banking portfolio.

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19 Jun 2019

The Market Impact of Dynamic Hedging on Hedging Program Peformance

This presentation covers the technical detail of derivatives within a low volitality and spike environment, hedging market impact for life insurance liabilities and hedging solutions.

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19 Jun 2019

Risk Classification Efficiency and the Insurance Market Regulation

Given that the insurance market is characterized by asymmetric information, its efficiency has traditionally been based to a large extent on risk classification. In certain regulations, however, we can find restrictions on these differentiations, primarily the ban on those considered to be “discriminatory”. In 2011, following the European Union Directive 2004/113/EC, the European Court of Justice concluded that any gender-based discrimination was prohibited, meaning that gender equality in the European Union had to be ensured from 21 December 2012.

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19 Jun 2019

Risk Identification: A Critical First Step in Enterprise Risk Management

This article is about defining risks at the proper level. To do so one must distinguish between risks and the outcome of other risks. The so-called reputation risk is an example of something that is not a source of risk, but rather an outcome of other risks. In addition to defining risks at the source, is also important to categorize risks with consistent levels of granularity.

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27 May 2019

Notes on Using Property Catastrophe Model Results

This article will discuss the use of results from popular Property Catastrophe models. It will explain common terms like Occurrence Exceedance Probability (OEP) and Aggregate Exceedance Probability (AEP) and show how these are related to event count and event size ideas. Simulation and the use of multiple models (blending) will also be discussed.

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27 May 2019

Risk analysis in construction project - chosen methods.

This article presents three different methods of the risk analysis as well as highlighting their disadvantages, advantages and primary areas of application (selection or pre-estimation). These methods differ in their methodology from each other. The areas of application and analytical capacity of the listed methods are illustrated with the short examples, simultaneously outlining their characteristics from the analysis. The research problems, which are the canvas of application of the discussed methods are not mutually interrelated.

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27 May 2019

Life insurance and demographic change: An empirical analysis of surrender decisions based on panel data

Abstract - Households buy life insurance as part of their liquidity management. The option to surrender such a policy can serve as a buffer when a household faces a liquidity need. In this study, we investigate empirically which individual and household specific sociodemographic factors influence the surrender behaviour of life insurance policyholders. Based on the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), an ongoing wide-ranging representative longitudinal study of around 11,000 private households in Germany, we construct a proxy to identify life insurance surrender in the data.

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27 May 2019

Fit for Purpose and Fit for the Future? An Evaluation of the UK's New Flood Reinsurance Pool

Abstract - Flood Re is widely hailed as an innovative approach to disaster risk insurance. This paper offers a mixed-methods evaluation of the new pool, asking whether it is “fit for purpose” and “fit for the future.” The investigation considers the roles of the public and private sectors, risk modelling and risk communication, technical underwriting, distributional aspects and the behavioural implications of Flood Re, particularly with regards to risk reduction and prevention.

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27 May 2019

Systemic Risk from Insurance Product Features

This paper sets out the rationale for the IAIS's revisions to the NTNI definition and a detailed description of Potentially Systemic Insurance Product Features.

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27 May 2019

Systemic risk and macroprudential policy in insurance

This paper aims at identifying and analysing the sources of systemic risk in insurance from a conceptual point of view. Its content shall not prejudge or establish any link with any kind of policy measures developed by the IAIS.

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