ERM Stochastic Analysis Tools - Risk Drivers Revealed

Submitted on 25th June 2015

This paper is about quantile regression modelling to expand understanding of the impact of all scenarios on economic capital

Section 1 is an introduction.
In Section 2 we discuss the illustrative business model that uses the input scenarios and capital results to form the basis of our analysis.
In Section 3 we create a model that displays two risk drivers and the sensitivity of the model results to these drivers.
In Section 4 we discuss how to use a quantile regression model to construct a economic dashboard.
In Section 5 we end the paper with a list of strengths and weaknesses of the QR method and a brief discussion of potential uses.
Finally, Appendix A discusses the QR methodology, Appendix B discusses the generation of the Interest rate scenarios, and Appendix C discusses quantile regression modeling in R.

Source
The Actuarial Foundation
Length of Resource
30 pages
Resource File
Author
Steven Craighead CERA ASA MAAA
Date Published
Publication Type
paper
Resource Type
academic